The last major storm to come through Florida, before Hurricane Andrew hit in 1992, was Hurricane Betsy in 1965, which went through the Keys.

All of the climate signals in the Atlantic Basin that we've been monitoring are very positive for above-average storm activity this year,

The climate signals are such that this looks like it's going to be an active year. Atlantic sea-surface temperatures are very warm. That's a major factor.

Climatic evidence strongly suggests that we are embarking on a new era of enhanced major hurricane activity.

In the past two years we've had two unlucky years. Globally, storms aren't getting worse, just in the Atlantic.

In cold years you have more activity than in warm years,

Small sea-surface temperature changes, there's no theory why they should make for more storms. Observations verify that. When we look back in a global point of view, in the last thirty years, there hasn't been a pick up in storms.

These numbers aren't extreme, but they continue the trend in which hurricane activity appears to be on a multi-decadal upswing.

The rest of the globe that has 88% of the tropical storms hasn't changed, ... If I'm proven wrong, I will jump off the highest peak in Colorado.

Even with the increased forecast numbers, this won't be one of the worst seasons of the century, ... but we are anticipating an active season not unlike several of the most recent years.